Calm. Methodical. Evidence-Based.

A $580 million burst of oil-futures selling minutes before Trump’s Iran “talks” post raises a basic public-interest question: did anyone trade on advance knowledge of a market-moving national security decision?

Executive

Mar 24, 2026

Arizona tests whether states can criminally police “prediction markets” that claim federal CFTC oversight.

Judiciary

Mar 17, 2026

Federal regulators are signaling self-policing for prediction markets even as presidential-family influence spans rival platforms, weakening anti-corruption guardrails and normalizing conflicted governance.

Economy

Mar 6, 2026