During a press conference Wednesday following the FOMC meeting, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said that once payroll data are adjusted for statistical overcounting, “job creation is pretty close to zero.” He linked the slowdown in hiring in part to corporate disclosures that AI allows firms to “do more with fewer people,” and said a “significant number of companies” have announced layoffs or hiring pauses while explicitly citing AI.
The comments followed the Fed’s quarter-point interest-rate cut to a target range of 3.75%–4%, with the Fed citing “downside risks to employment” even as inflation remains elevated. Powell said the economy is expanding at a “moderate pace,” with investment driven by AI-related data centers and equipment, and argued this spending differs from the dot-com era because “these companies actually have earnings.”
Powell described a policy dilemma: AI and automation boost output while softening the labor market, creating “upside risks to inflation” and “downside risks to employment.” He cited layoffs and hiring freezes, including Amazon’s reduction of 14,000 middle managers, and referenced layoff totals reported by Challenger, Gray & Christmas, including figures tied to AI and automation.